Nontraditional Threats to Indian Security: Scenarios to 2022
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| Traditionally, countries have looked at the notion of "security" from a narrow purview: threats were restricted to the realm of state-to-state, military conflict. But today, threats to the sovereignty of a country come from new sources: climate change and environmental disasters, terrorists and insurgent groups, secure access to energy, technology and cyberwarfare, diseases like SARS and H1N1, development patterns that enable violence, and elsewhere (see chart). |
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SCALE OF ORGANISATION
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| Human |
Community |
State/ Province |
Nation-State |
Regional |
Global |
| T H R E A T V E C T O R |
Military |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Traditional |
Traditional |
Traditional |
| Economic |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Traditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
| Geopolitics |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Traditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
| Resources |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Traditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
| Environmental |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
| Health |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
| Socio-Political |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
| Governance |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
| Technological |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
Nontraditional |
These sorts of nontraditional threats emerge from nontraditional sources, affect nontraditional targets, have nontraditional ways of emerging, and require nontraditional responses. They are no longer in the exclusive realm of countries’ armies, and can afflict humans, communities, provinces, and even whole regions.
The Observer Research Foundation is undertaking a project on Nontraditional Threats to Indian Security: Scenarios to 2022, an interdisciplinary project that looks at threats from various sectors. These threat drivers include transnational crime, terrorism and insurgency; law enforcement; geopolitics (threats through other countries); health and sanitation; economics; energy and resources; climate and environment; science and technology; governance and politics; socio-political; and traditional, balance-of-power security threats.
We invite you to join us in this research endeavour.
You are requested to fill out a survey that will contribute to the success of this project. Each survey seeks diverse, out-of-the-box views on a variety of themes related to each driver. With the notion of non-traditional security in mind, please respond to the attached questions to the best of your knowledge and ability. The answers will remain anonymous, so please do not hold back in your responses.
Some things to keep in mind in your responses is that although this project takes on a broader aperture for looking at security, the priority remains on issues that can or will threaten the country as a whole; and this project puts an emphasis on future developments, with an eye to the year 2022, coinciding with the end of India’s thirteenth 5-year plan. For a quick glance at the way we are looking at the practice of ’futuring’, please see here.
The questionnaires for each topic are available here:
• Transnational crime, terrorism and insurgency
• Law enforcement
• Geopolitics and threats through other countries
• Health and sanitation
• Economics and development
• Energy and resources,
• Climate and environment
• Science and technology
• Governance and politics
• Socio-political
• Traditional security threats.
To complete a questionnaire, please fill in the answers in the boxes, save a copy as ’Topic - YOUR NAME’, and email send it to the address listed on the first page of the questionnaire.
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